This morning, the Bank of Canada announced it will hold its overnight rate at 2.75% for the third consecutive time.
Inflation remains a key concern, with core inflation still above the Bank’s 2% target. High shelter costs continue to be the main driver of overall inflation, while trade disruptions and new tariffs are adding pressure as businesses adjust supply chains and pass along rising costs to consumers.
At the same time, early signs of an economic slowdown are emerging. After strong growth in the first quarter, Canada’s economy likely contracted in Q2, with weakened exports and lower household spending. The job market is also softening, especially in sectors affected by U.S. trade actions.
Governor Tiff Macklem highlighted the challenge of balancing these competing forces: slowing economic growth on one side and persistent inflationary pressures on the other. While rates remain unchanged for now, the Bank has signaled that future cuts are possible if inflation continues to ease and global uncertainties stabilize.
With so much in flux, now is a smart time to revisit your mortgage strategy. Whether you're considering refinancing, preparing for renewal, or simply exploring your options, I’m here to help you stay ahead and make informed decisions that align with your goals.
The next Bank of Canada announcement is scheduled for September 17, 2025. I’ll be sure to keep you updated.
